But let’s say we have a polling miss like we had in 2020,
What happens if we have a polling miss like 2022?"
What happens then? Well, then Donald Trump wins the election in a blowout with 312 electoral votes because he carries all these Great Lake battleground states plus Nevada, plus the other states he was leading in — Arizona, North Carolina and Georgia,
That doesn't mean Harris is going to lose, but it is an asymmetry in my reporting that comes from a variety of people connected to the campaigns and not connected to the campaigns,
Mark, all intel from your reporting is welcome. The problem is that many Republican strategists have a history of working the refs, with sketchy polls, premature 'dozens of paths to 270' (a familiar refrain in Milwaukee) and old-fashioned spin. It ain't worth much."
Mitt Romney was so confident he was going to win that he didn't even write a concession speech. Hillary Clinton too."
Trump is going to lock up the Sun Belt states, probably all four, but at least three. And then he's going to win Pennsylvania, and that checkmates [Harris],
This decision was reached, I'm told, all of a sudden because of the high-level pressure from [former House Speaker] Nancy Pelosi, [former President] Barack Obama and others, as well as the decision of many of Biden's top aides, that there was no path forward for him, that he would not be able to win this election, win the general election, and therefore he's stepping aside again as early as this weekend,
Things continue to move against Harris—Trump's win probability has increased by another two points since last week
If Trump wins by double digits, Sherrod’s toast. If Trump wins by 6-7, Sherrod’s got a real shot,
This is kind of shocking to me. Like, don’t you live with people? Are you not aware that there’s going to be a tsunami of women voting between now and Election Day
If Harris is advised by her wealthy donors to shun the left and drop her more progressive positions in favor of a ‘move to the center,’
The majority of Americans want regulation. They want people to be making sure that, when you have a hurricane and only 1% of the people have flood insurance —That‘s not the country I live in. That‘s not the country I‘m going to live in, where people now are suffering because of this,
You mentioned Democrats who want [Harris] to ‘tone it down,'
I don't think it's a dead heat,
The majority of Americans believe climate change is real. The majority of Americans believe the minimum wage is too low. Just go down the list,
Anybody who thinks women are going to stay home, that women are going to stay home — Do you not know any women? Do you not live with a woman?"
Democrats, they're such a frightened group of people,
The reason she’s so progressive — because she believes in a woman's right to choose, she believes a 14-year-old shouldn't take an assault rifle to school….you go down all her positions and they line up exactly with where the majority of Americans are at,
No, I don't think people should be running their lives based on these polls,