Whether you like the stock market or not, it’s a leading indicator — the all-time leading indicator,
Markets are going to go up, and they’re going to go down,
I think this country is going to boom. But as I said, I can do it the easy way or the hard way,
That's pretty good news in terms of inflation but the problem is, you have a trade war that's expanding,
The only problem is we don't know exactly how long it will go,
In only a few weeks, the broader market has gone from record highs to correction territory,
There's still a lot of uncertainty concerning the economy,
And you’re seeing it most acutely in some of the more sensitive areas of the market like the fairly inflated Magnificent 7,
I think what markets are telling us is that they are very concerned about the potential for a recession,
With policy uncertainty extraordinarily elevated, the U.S. economy has already begun to be negatively impacted,
Speculative assets have been sliding not because investors have determined the true cost of tariffs, but instead because the marketplace has suffered one of its periodic bouts of risk on, risk off,
I’m not concerned about a little bit of volatility over three weeks,
In response to the now heightened risk of stagflation, we are lowering our S&P 500 valuation expectations and year-end price targets,
I think in the next eight to 12 weeks, the data cycle here in the U.S. is going to be very important,
The market today, from our assessment, especially the fixed income credit market, is not pricing in significant policy downside from here,
More clarity from the fiscal policy side would be critically helpful,
Trends that would suggest a cold economy and hot inflation are still in the early stages, but uncertainty remains high,
It has dawned on Wall Street (and us!) that President Trump's tariffs aren't negotiating chips to help the U.S. lower tariffs around the world, promoting free trade,
If tariffs stick, the one-time price increase and uncertainty regarding its impact on inflation expectations are likely to be enough to keep the FOMC on pause,
Buy Bundy rather than some of the American products … You can make a difference,