Kamala Harris has final surge ahead of Trump in final key poll as America votes today in knife-edge election

Trump remains a slight favorite to win the 2024 election, though the outcome is effectively a toss-up,

says an analysis by Decision Desk HQ on October 28.

Harris is showing a clear lead with women, the question for tomorrow is whether it will be a historic one for a Democrat candidate,

a pollster for J.L. Partners Scarlett Maguire said

It exists because a lot of men don’t ever think about who brought them into this world,

said Lala Johnson, a telemed assistant supporting Harris

It’s a double gender gap.”

Republican pollster Kellyanne Conway has a name for the phenomenon that goes both ways

Well, reproductive rights have a lot to do with it, but I really don’t know,

said Ned McCarthy, 70, who’s supporting Trump

That you’re voting for the wrong person, and we’ll end up in a depression, and you’re not going to be safe.”

Asked about his message to women voters who might be thinking about voting for Harris, Trump told NBC News over the weekend

This has been achieved by shifting from the 'joy' strategy to emphasizing the perceived dangers of a Trump presidency,

the report explains

Our conclusion is simple: independents prefer Harris, and if this is reflected in turnout, she will be America's 47th president,

the report predicts

Back in 2020 we stated the polls were wrong, there would be no Biden landslide as swing voters didn't really like him, they just hated Trump,

the report reads

On the plus side for Harris, we have consistently observed a small but notable amount of discussion among right-leaning swing voters suggesting they are leaning towards her, while similar conversations in favor of Trump have been scarce,

the report states

They are going to make up 30 percent or so of the electorate and if they swing enough towards Harris, she will win Nevada, ... I think they will."

Ralston wrote, adding

Trump supporters often have lower civic engagement and social trust, so they can be less inclined to complete a survey from a news organization,

he wrote in an NYT column this week

One criticism of pollsters is that they 'herd' at the end trying to be close to other pollsters. That is not what we do,

said Mitchell in a statement

Before polling began, we looked at what we thought would be the likely turnout in 2024. Every poll we conducted—including this one—was weighted exactly the same. We weighted party affiliation, gender, age, race, area, and education,

Mitchell said

However, to assure we are comparing 'apples to apples,' we kept the same weights we have used all along,

he added