To be clear, we do not expect aggressive new tariffs in a possible Trump Administration (i.e 100%+). But the challenge for investors will be around rhetoric, especially with the USMCA up for renegotiation in 2026. Trade uncertainty could weigh on Auto stocks broadly, as we saw from 2018-early 2020 (during the height of the US-China trade war & NAFTA negotiations),
We anticipate a tougher approach to trade and tariffs although we believe policy changes will be milder than announcements in order to minimize business disruption."
Maybe we would go for production elsewhere not subject to U.S. tariffs."
That is a big impact,
They think they're going to make their cars [in Mexico] and they're going to sell them across our line and we're going to take them and we're not going to charge them tax,
Tariffs, trade barriers, protectionism is going to be detrimental to the global economy,
If you impose a tariff, you have to bear in mind that the other party is going to react, and it’s going to retaliate, and that could give rise to vicious circle of in terms of inflation, tariffs, which could be the worst possible result and outcome,
While the outlook for 2025 is essentially unchanged, global growth is likely to be a little stronger in 2026 and 2027 on the back of the election result, as the impact of looser U.S. fiscal policy more than offsets the drag from targeted tariff measures,
The multilateral world of the 1990-2000s will no longer exist,
I want German car companies to become American car companies. I want them to build their plants here.”
Aggressive unilateral tariff hikes by the US would lead to a 0.2% to 1.9% reduction of Mexico's GDP relative to our baseline expectations,
The significant increase in tariffs would have implications for both the US economy and for China, and there would be flow-on consequences for Australia,
I think that China has already faced significant tariffs and has adapted, but Europe has yet to face them. So if Trump does implement his global tariffs then Europe would be hit hard,
Time will tell whether Trump's 'bark' proves worse than his 'bite,' with inauguration day not for another couple of months, but the election results are set to make those months very jittery indeed for European policymakers,
The real fear among market watchers is that Europe would retaliate just as swiftly as it did during Trump's first presidency,
To me, the most beautiful word in the dictionary is 'tariff,'
A fresh trade war with the US under Trump's presidency could exacerbate these problems, destabilizing the region's economy further,
Tech companies, consumer goods giants, luxury brands, and automotive firms that generate a large portion of their revenues from Europe could be caught in the crossfire,
In very broad terms, the imposition of trade restrictions, such as tariffs, typically lead to lower growth and higher inflation,
If Trump ... I don’t think the U.K. has a choice but to retaliate,