The events of the last few days have once again shown that anything can be expected of Trump,
Markets have shown some nervousness around the prospect of a trade war, yet it doesn't look like we're going to have another truly miserable day,
A risk is that this is the beginning of a tit-for-tat trade war, which could result in lower GDP growth everywhere, higher US inflation, a stronger dollar and upside pressure on US interest rates,
One thing we can say for sure. Markets are going to remain subject to massive headline risk in coming hours... days... and years,
However, the uncertainty surrounding the permanence of these tariffs makes it challenging for companies to make informed capital investment decisions,
We are in a bull market fueled by a strong U.S. consumer and rising corporate profitability. Until something cracks with this narrative, I believe dips are buyable,
The flip side of like this asset gaining respectability and finding a role in institutional portfolios is now all of a sudden you’re exposed to the liquidity constraints that larger investors face,
Due to higher tariffs, the price competitiveness of these Korean goods manufactured in the two U.S. neighbors will inevitably become weaker,
Under these circumstances, Korea should embrace the possibility of setbacks in exports, which in turn can lower the country’s annual growth by up to 0.5 percent,
Auto parts retailers have an estimated ~10% of sales exposure to Mexico, primarily in remanufactured parts,
Overall we continue to see little direct impact to our space or coverage from potential tariff increases on Mexico, Canada, and China; rather indirect effects, as well as escalation remain the larger potential worry as overall semiconductor imports (from all countries) might be large enough to be affected by more broad-based actions should the new administration feel so inclined (as it seems they might be),
While weaker pricing could negatively impact cash flow, they should all benefit from the weaker CAD currency as it lowers costs,
Exposed Canadian and U.S. energy stocks have already reflected some concern around tariffs. However, we expect some volatility as the 10% [oil tariff on Canada] is lower than a potential 25% tariff,
Those are riskier cryptos” than bitcoin
With tariffs set to come in on Tuesday, there is a small window to come to some sort of accommodation. But President Trump has downplayed the chances of a deal before then,
The lack of a clear economic rationale behind this decision - justified primarily as a measure to curb illegal immigration and fentanyl imports - has unsettled investors,
If these tariffs lasted a full fiscal year, we recognize a potential $3.00-3.75 hit to F26E EPS, though potential pricing and volume headwinds make it difficult to estimate,
These announcements have come as a shock to many investors who expected tariffs would only be imposed if trade negotiations failed,
People thought, okay, there's a pro-business president, there's a pro-business Congress. What could go wrong, right? And I think it's just a little bit of a shock that he's trying to do so many things at once,
It is worth doing everything possible to ensure that in the face of a Russian threat or Chinese expansion, we do not fight between allies,