They've got a war to fight. They're not interested in starting new fronts in that war."
For a country that is defending itself, it is permitted to also deploy weapons on the territory of the aggressor. And that is Russia in this case,
Today there were no decisions on this. Each country will do what it feels is appropriate. The American administration said ‘no’ for a long time, and now they are saying ‘yes’."
Unlike [U.S. President Joe] Biden, Trump immediately announced his ultimate goal to stop the war. The question is — how is he going to do that?"
Ukraine has been asking for this for years, not months,
Operationally, these missiles can target Russian storage facilities, command centers, and even North Korean troops preparing for offensive actions,
Strikes are not made with words,
If such a decision was really formulated and brought to the attention of the Kyiv regime, then, of course, this is a qualitatively new round of tension and a qualitatively new situation in terms of the involvement of the United States in this conflict,
If a new administration pulls back on military aid or restricts Ukraine’s ability to strike, it could significantly weaken Ukraine’s position on the battlefield and at the negotiating table,
Over time, Ukrainians have learned to live with initial refusals on the delivery or use of critical weapons, followed by hesitant ‘maybes’, and only after countless lives are lost, a reluctant ‘yes’. Unfortunately, this reactive approach is not what Ukraine needs to preserve its independence or endure potential negotiations,
The Ukrainians need to convince the incoming US administration that they are still worth backing – in Trump’s transactional view, a ‘good investment’,
Russia’s strategy of escalating attacks, especially around holidays or weekends, is intended to break the spirit of Ukrainians and remind them of the hardships of war,
Reading the tea leaves, unfortunately this looks like more incrementalism,
The decision came far too late. Had it been made at the beginning of the fall, it might have disrupted Russia’s counteroffensive in the Kursk region. And if it had been made even earlier, it could have derailed the offensive in the Pokrovsk direction,
Today, many in the media are talking about the fact that we have received permission to take appropriate actions. But blows are not inflicted with words. Such things are not announced. The rockets will speak for themselves,
ATACMS missiles can hold at risk high value Russian and North Korean targets. This would help Ukrainian forces defend the Kursk salient, which is under pressure,
The decision comes late, and like other decisions in this vein, it may be too late to substantially change the course of the fighting,
This should have been used either as a preventative measure, or as a sharp reaction in February or March 2022. Now it does not play a big role,
Russia can shoot down Storm Shadow and ATACMS, so the salvo size that can be launched is also an important consideration,
Ukraine has committed some of its best units there, so they may be able to hold for some time if they continue to receive enough ammunition and combat replacements,