So, it would be a serious gamble. But I cannot, however, rule out that the Kremlin is prepared to take its chances. Especially if Moscow feels that it can count on a weak response. We don’t know if it can,
Merchant vessels don’t normally go and cut undersea cables for the fun of it,
The problem for the Kremlin, of course, is whether the threat of nuclear retaliation to Ukraine striking targets inside Russia with Western conventional weapons is a credible threat,
Russia's willingness to climb the nuclear ladder to a great extent comes down to the thinking and the predilections of one man, Vladimir Putin,
The Russian perception that this is a step by the Biden administration to tie Trump's hands when he gets into office,
I'm somewhat astounded about the details and very broad scenarios described in the document,
It goes far beyond what we have seen in documents from other nuclear-armed states,
The West would have to believe that Putin would actually order the use of nuclear weapons in retaliation for a very limited conventional attack that does not in any way threaten Russia's survival or its ability to operate its nuclear forces,
Russia is pushing forward and maybe the calculation is that Russia wants to keep its momentum,
From the Russian perspective, this use is equivalent to an attack by them on Russian territory,
Since there’s little Russia can do in response in practical terms, it turns to threatening language on paper to undermine the resolve of the outgoing Biden administration. That’s understandable — direct and indirect nuclear threats have been so effective in the past in deterring Biden from backing Ukraine fully, that it would be disappointing for Moscow if this latest move didn’t make a difference,
Russia’s move will tie in with the campaign by its backers in the West to paint the easing of restrictions on ATACMS strikes into Russia as a dangerous escalation,
Our enemies are forced to admit that the determination of the Russian President to firmly defend the fundamental interests of the country by all available means narrows the room for maneuver for Washington and Brussels. Attempts by individual NATO allies to participate in providing for possible long-range strikes with Western weapons deep into Russian territory will not go unpunished,
The doctrinal changes have indeed been in the works for some time. It does appear that the timing of the decree was chosen deliberately, to send a (strong) signal of disapproval of the decision to give the authorization,
He has rattled his nuclear saber quite a bit and this is dangerous behavior,
It would be a serious gamble,
I don’t see a change in their strategic force posture and so we’ll continue to remain vigilant in this regard,
Russia could retaliate with WMD against Kiev and key NATO facilities, wherever they’re located. That means World War III,
When it comes to any statements out of Russia and Putin's regime, our clear message is that we will continue to stand steadfast in support of Ukraine and in its defence of itself against an illegal invasion.
Look, well, I have to say that, well, our Sarmat [Satan-2] missiles are also ready, always ready for use in Trafalgar Square,