If Trump is serious on what he is saying about sticking with these tariffs, he is betting his presidency on their success, and on the patience of the American people, at a moment when the people do not appear in a patient mood,
You can do this once or twice and bring people to the table, ... but at some point the countries say we are going to retaliate,”
When the president thinks about tariffs, he is usually thinking about three things: leverage, revenue and re-industrialization,
To the extent that another country’s practices harm our own economy and people, the United States will respond,
President Trump’s economic policies are simple,
Your CHIPS act is a horrible, horrible thing,
The objectives themselves, I think most of them have merit, but the way they're being implemented is very disorderly,
If this leads firms and consumers to hold back on their spending and demand pulls back, we could get a slowdown or even a recession that was largely avoidable,
I think some so much of this anxiety that we have in this country is all about the fear of retirement,
Could we have one quarter or two quarter of a flattening of our economy as we try to reset the economy? Absolutely,
The decision was purely economic, and we believe this is going to be great long term investment,
The collective impact in the short run is that people are pausing, they’re pulling back,
Right now the president is focusing on tariffs, but when he talks about reciprocal tariffs, actually, that may bring down tariffs over the long run,
There’s nothing wrong with a market pullback,
We’re taking it back.”
All of these things have that ripple effect, and we will see over a long cycle whether this ripple effect gets worse or does it stabilize,
In the first Trump administration, there was this widespread belief that downturns in the stock market that came from federal policies would encourage President Trump to reconsider those policies. That's a change we're seeing because even with the recent downturn in markets, President Trump has continued on his pace of adding new tariffs, defending the tariffs, layering them one on top of each other."
There are always multiple forces at work in the market, but right now, almost all of them are taking a back seat to tariffs."
As U.S. assistance fades, countries like Germany have already announced significant boosts in defense budgets. The shift toward nationalism in the U.S. has also pushed other nations to ramp up their spending, no longer viewing the U.S. as a reliable partner,
For investors, the key is staying diversified and not making moves based on perception. Sometimes, there's nothing wrong with sitting in money markets or 4 percent-plus-yielding treasuries while the dust settles,