The key question is if we can see consumer confidence bottom out and begin a meaningful recovery. Pessimism has grown quite entrenched as of late, and it will take a lot of effort to break out of the doldrums.”
For us who do business, it's obvious that there are much fewer customers coming to our store, and customers' consumption levels don't compare to before,
Because we are labourers, we earn the lowest, basic level of income,
The economy has clearly gone downhill,
Consumption levels are lower than before,
I'm afraid of thoughtlessly spending money,
We don't think of consuming so much,
There's a fear of consuming and spending money because there is no money,
Monetary policy support alone is unlikely to right the economy,
China is suffering from a crisis of confidence, not one of credit; families and firms do not have the confidence in the economy to warrant borrowing, regardless of how cheap it is to do so,
With a package of incremental policies being timely rolled out ... social confidence was effectively bolstered and the economy recovered remarkably,
We still expect growth to slow for 2025 as a whole, with Trump likely to follow through on his tariff threats soon and persistent structural imbalances still weighing on the economy,
The government's property support measures seem to be providing some relief, with the pace of house price falls slowing and new home sales showing some recovery,
Amid a relentless barrage of economic pessimism, China's economy defied expectations with a robust five percent growth last year, nailing the government's ambitious target,
If we continue getting numbers like this, it's reasonable to think rate cuts could happen in the first half of the year,
We must be aware that the adverse effects brought by external environment are increasing, the domestic demands are insufficient."
In retrospect, the policy pivot last September was meant to defend the GDP target (of around 5%),
Since the fourth quarter of 2024, the expanded trade-in program for consumer goods has continued to yield positive effects, driving the sustained recovery of the economy,
China's fiscal stimulus is not yet enough to address the drags on economic growth ... We are cautious long term given China's structural challenges,
Consumer spending remains weak, foreign investment is declining, and some industries face growth pressure,