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Through midweek, heavy rainfall from Oscar will lead to areas of significant, life-threatening flash flooding along with mudslides across portions of eastern Cuba, especially within the Sierra Maestra,
the National Hurricane Center warned in a forecast Some additional weakening is expected while Oscar continues to interact with the land mass of eastern Cuba today, and Oscar could weaken to a tropical depression before the circulation moves over water,
Elevated water levels in areas of onshore winds along the coast of eastern Cuba will gradually subside later today and tonight. Near the coast, large and dangerous waves will continue into early Tuesday,
It is less common to have storms develop further east in the basin in mid/late October than for storms to form in the western Caribbean,
Nicholas Grondin, an assistant professor of environmental studies at the University of Tampa, told Newsweek On the forecast track, the center of Oscar is expected to continue moving across eastern Cuba through this afternoon, then emerge off the northern coast of Cuba late today or tonight and move near the southeastern and central Bahamas on Tuesday,
The cyclone should accelerate northeastward over portions of the southeastern Bahamas and western Atlantic ahead of [a] trough. In 60-72 hours, global model guidance indicates that the circulation will become elongated and that it will be absorbed by a larger developing non-tropical area of low pressure between Bermuda and the southeastern U.S. coast by day 3,
Global models, like the GFS and ECMWF model, are run over the entire globe. Hurricane models, like the HWRF and HAFS model, are run over a region around the hurricane at higher resolution,
Brian Tang, an associate professor of atmospheric science at New York's University at Albany, told Newsweek It is fair to say it's been an unexpected day with regards to Oscar. After being upgraded to a tropical storm this morning, a resources-permitting Air Force Reconnaissance mission found that Oscar was much stronger than anticipated and in fact was a tiny hurricane,
the NHC said on Saturday night Unfortunately the system kind of snuck up a little bit on us,
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of Central America and southern Mexico through the weekend,