We're in a pretty good place with this economy. We want to make more progress on inflation and we think our policy rate is in a good place, and we don't see any reason to be in a hurry to reduce it further,
Look, they got [prices] up. I'd like to bring them down. It's hard to bring things down once they're up. You know, it's very hard. But I think that they will. I think that energy is going to bring them down. I think a better supply chain is going to bring them down."
In some cases it doesn’t reach the consumer much, and in some cases it does,
Inflation is stuck above target, with risks skewed to the upside, activity is strong, and the labor market appears to have stabilized around full employment,
We still expect high used and new car inflation because of wildfires, and acceleration in certain goods that seem to show strength in January (drugs, motor vehicle parts, recreation commodities),
Even if tariffs are avoided, we think their potential keeps uncertainty about PCE inflation elevated and keeps risks to PCE inflation tilted to the upside. We now only look for one rate cut this year in June. The path for monetary policy in 2025 remains highly uncertain,