What Mr Messina is downplaying is that they are a lot scarier for Democrats. According to NBC News, President Donald J Trump has a 16-point lead (56-40) among voters who plan to cast their ballot on election day. Obama’s chief campaign strategist and CNN political commentator, David Axelrod, told CNN that there are no guarantees that voters will turn out on election day for Vice President Harris,
It seems like Republicans are participating at a higher rate now, and it seems like the turnout is a bit higher,
Democrats are spinning themselves and reporters by claiming that their voters will turn out on Election Day when polls show otherwise and, most importantly, that's asking Democrat voters to do something they have absolutely no history of doing,
We've got some early voting data that's rolling in right now, it looks like enthusiasm is up, but Republicans are enthusiastic,
President Donald J. Trump is going into Election Day stronger than he has in any previous election and if patriots across the country keep the momentum and turn out as expected on Election Day, we will be swearing in President Trump in January,
With Early Voting closed and Election Day on the horizon, Democrats are facing a massive turnout deficit."
The fact that they're issuing this memo tells you they don't think they're in as good a position going into tomorrow as they want you to believe,
Last time, Trump said don't early vote so they didn't,
Look to Nevada, where Republicans are outnumbering Democrats—unheard of in the early vote,
But when you dig into the numbers that really matter to me—two blocks of voters: women and young voters—those two blocs are coming through for Harris,
We assume that because abortion is so high on the agenda for women that Harris will benefit, but suburban white women have also polled well for Trump in recent surveys and past elections. 2020 was an anomaly."
Early voting has increased exponentially since 2000, to the point where we can expect 50 percent of votes cast in 2024 to come in ahead of Election Day. Speculation about who these early voters cast their ballot for is, at best, a guess,
On election night, we'll have a better idea because Georgia and North Carolina have made it easier to count early ballots. Before then, we're just speculating."
The turnout of women could also lead to "mirage" results,
Republicans are kicking our ass at early voting,
The early vote numbers are a little scary,
Republicans didn't do what they did last time,
This appears to be the first time Republicans have ever clinched the early vote in North Carolina,
Democrats have more than 1.4 million voters who voted before Election Day in 2020 or 2022 but have not voted yet and many not having even requested a mail ballot,
Women voters make up 55% of the early voters and in the past 10 days, young voters in these battleground states are coming out in what looks to be, for early votes, historic numbers,