One of our core beliefs about elections and markets is that the latter must endure some temporary repricing around this event every few years, but that these dislocations have tended to be temporary in nature,
Of course, there are acute sector considerations and there are broader macroeconomic implications, but in general the U.S. economy continues to march forward,
Investor sentiment is pro-growth, pro-deregulation, and pro-markets, as seen in the overnight market action,
With the pullback in Trump-victory bets (over the last week), gold has lost some of its bullish momentum, dropping from last week’s record $2,790 to around $2,740,
On Tuesday, US markets closed strong, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 1.02%, the Nasdaq up 1.43%, and the S&P 500 gaining 1.23%,
With election day finally here, expect more market volatility, particularly if the wait for a result is long or contested. Political divisiveness presents a risk to investor sentiment,
Most stock price movements over time are driven by earnings, inflation, and interest rates. Policy does matter, particularly tax and trade policy, but not as much as some might think,
Though having gone through the ‘hanging chads’ of the Bush vs. Gore election in 2000, legal challenges, recounts, and the Jan. 6 experience, perhaps markets are battle-tested for election chaos,
The market appears to be in an anticipatory relief rally now that the election is here,
I do think Trump 2.0 will be different from Trump 1.0... I expect him to push through a lot of fast major legislation within the first 100 days, so hold on to your hats,
If it becomes a very, very contested election that gets dragged out in the legal system for a couple of weeks. I think the market would not like that... that would be one downside risk,
My feel is clearly projecting the strong likelihood of a Trump win,
I think it's been betting on a Trump victory. I think that's why you've seen today is such a strong move,
There's been a lot of hedging against potential uncertainty, potential drama out of Washington. We've seen that. And now as we're at Election Day, we kind of are optimistic that maybe some of that can unwind,
Trump is unique, but he is returning to the patriotic movement prior to the rise of conservatism in the 1950s”.
As the closest of allies, we stand shoulder to shoulder in defence of our shared values of freedom, democracy and enterprise,
We still have votes to count. We still have states that have not been called yet. We will continue, overnight, to fight to make sure that every vote is counted, that every voice has spoken. So you won’t hear from the vice-president tonight, but you will hear from her tomorrow,
None of the threats have been determined to be credible thus far,
It looks like Republicans have shown up in force,
With autocrats like Putin in Russia and Trump in the US in power, the European Union will have to stand on its own two feet in terms of support for Ukraine, climate action and the fight for democracy,