The most significant long-term correlations for bitcoin are a negative correlation with the U.S. dollar and a positive correlation with money supply growth,
Geopolitical does not matter for financial markets until it does,
We certainly only want to hear the word 'nuclear' when it comes to providing clean base load power 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, and which we are still long of in uranium, not when it comes out of Vladimir Putin's mouth,
We've been growing increasingly constructive for some time now,
The conflict is escalating ... I clearly expect to see some kind of immediate reaction, knee-jerk reaction,
The sharp drop in bond yields and USDJPY was of course notable, but I think even more telling is how quickly it was faded,
But in terms of longer-term, this is year three of the conflict and while initially we saw spikes in prices ... that's kind of leveled off,
The biggest takeaway today is caution around what's going on in Ukraine. Largely investors are hiding out in some of the megacap names, which is a little bit surprising ahead of Nvidia earnings, but they are highly liquid,
The combination of Russia ratcheting up its war rhetoric and uncertainty about how the incoming U.S. presidential administration will respond, is a recipe for stock market volatility,
Walmart came in and delivered optimistic guidance,
All around the world, we're nervous because Putin has said if this escalates, he could match the escalation. Markets are reflecting this nervousness,