It is not often we see a colossal failure in hurricane forecasting."
One last gasp may be in store for the Atlantic as we turn the calendar to November,
Oscar is at best barely a tropical storm at this time,
We suspect there will be another attempt for a tropical depression or tropical storm to brew in the western Caribbean during the middle to the latter part of next week,
The winds have been very high,
We will not allow anyone to act by provoking acts of vandalism and much less by disturbing the civil tranquility of our people,
Through midweek, heavy rainfall from Oscar will lead to areas of significant, life-threatening flash flooding along with mudslides across portions of eastern Cuba, especially within the Sierra Maestra,
Some additional weakening is expected while Oscar continues to interact with the land mass of eastern Cuba today, and Oscar could weaken to a tropical depression before the circulation moves over water,
Elevated water levels in areas of onshore winds along the coast of eastern Cuba will gradually subside later today and tonight. Near the coast, large and dangerous waves will continue into early Tuesday,
It is less common to have storms develop further east in the basin in mid/late October than for storms to form in the western Caribbean,
On the forecast track, the center of Oscar is expected to continue moving across eastern Cuba through this afternoon, then emerge off the northern coast of Cuba late today or tonight and move near the southeastern and central Bahamas on Tuesday,
The cyclone should accelerate northeastward over portions of the southeastern Bahamas and western Atlantic ahead of [a] trough. In 60-72 hours, global model guidance indicates that the circulation will become elongated and that it will be absorbed by a larger developing non-tropical area of low pressure between Bermuda and the southeastern U.S. coast by day 3,
Global models, like the GFS and ECMWF model, are run over the entire globe. Hurricane models, like the HWRF and HAFS model, are run over a region around the hurricane at higher resolution,
It is fair to say it's been an unexpected day with regards to Oscar. After being upgraded to a tropical storm this morning, a resources-permitting Air Force Reconnaissance mission found that Oscar was much stronger than anticipated and in fact was a tiny hurricane,
Cubans are tired of so much,
Through Wednesday morning, rainfall amounts of 6 to 12 inches with isolated amounts of 18 inches are expected across eastern Cuba,
We have been paralyzing economic activity to generate (power) to the population,
The fuel shortage is the biggest factor,
My cell phone is dead and look at my refrigerator. The little that I had has all gone to waste,
God knows when the power will come back on,